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Saturday 10/24/2026  
Small Caps Shine As AI Trade Stumbles And Oil Surges
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🦍 Gorilla Commentary

The GorillaTrades portfolio was very polarized on Friday. Of the current GorillaPicks that fell, only a handful dipped more than 1%-2%, and just two dropped more than 2.5%; Equitable (EQH) and MetLife (MET) lost 4.1% and 4.6%, respectively. Conversely, Marex (MRX) and Occidental Petroleum (OXY) rose 2.1% and 2.7%, respectively, while Devon Energy (DVN) and Scorpio Tankers (STNG) leaped 4.2% and 4.5%, respectively.

As a result, 18 of the 21 confirmed GorillaPicks in the GorillaTrades portfolio still hold unrealized gains, including four with double-digit gains. This number is misleading because only one confirmed GorillaPick holds an unrealized loss of more than 1.5%: Marex (MRX) is down 5.6%. On the other hand, four different GorillaPicks (AbbVie- ABBV, Descartes Systems- DSGX, MetLife- MET, and Visa- V) hold 21%-26% unrealized gains. Additionally, 10 different GorillaPicks have achieved their first targets.

WEEKLY STRONGEST GORILLAPICKS:

Apple Inc. AAPL
AbbVie Inc. ABBV
Arch Capital Group Ltd. ACGL
The Descartes Systems Group Inc. DSGX
Devon Energy Corp. DVN
Exelixis Inc. EXEL
GigaCloud Technologies Inc. GCT
Hamilton Insurance Group Ltd. HG
Intercontinental Exchange Inc. ICE
Eli Lilly & Co. LLY
Mastercard Inc. MA
Occidental Petroleum Corp. OXY
Scorpio Tankers Inc. STNG
Visa Inc. V
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. VRTX

📁 Portfolio Update

Price Action:

Price Action

Bearish 0-100 Bullish

The bulls won the first half of the week and lost the second, as a three-day rebound built on broadening leadership gave way to a technology wreck on Thursday and an oil-driven Dow selloff on Friday. The short-term technical picture has softened again, with every major index back below its 50-day moving average, and bears head into a packed Fed and earnings week holding the momentum.
 

Overbought/Oversold:

Overbought/Oversold

Overbought 0-100 Oversold

Stocks got a little more washed out this week, with the Nasdaq's momentum now knocking on the door of oversold and the average stock leaking lower even on the days the headline indices rose. The market is not at a capitulation extreme, but it is stretched far enough to the oversold side that buyers willing to step in on weakness keep the edge, provided oil does not take another leg higher.

Index G/L Current Level
Dow -653 52,215
Nasdaq -54 25,955
S&P -40 7,624
Russell 2000 -8 2,776
Year-to-date 50-day MA 200-day MA
+8.6% 52,320 50,532
+11,7% 26,599 24,992
+11.4% 7,700 7,291
+11.8% 2,881 2,800

Declining issues outnumbered advancers by a 7-to-4 ratio on the NYSE on Friday, with 55 stocks hitting new 52-week highs and 60 stocks hitting fresh 52-week lows, while volume was a bit lighter than it has been of late.

-The major indices finished mixed in a volatile week, as a three-day rebound on broadening leadership was erased by a sharp AI spending selloff on Thursday and an oil-driven drop on Friday, with investors digesting a heavy earnings slate, crude above $100 a barrel, and a split message from hot business surveys and depressed consumer sentiment

·The Russell 2000 and the Dow finished the week higher in a clear divergence, while the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 slipped, as money rotated out of the mega-cap growth complex and into small caps, health care, and energy

·The week's economic data split down the middle, as housing stayed in a deep freeze and weekly jobless claims held near historic lows, while Friday's flash business surveys came in hot and consumer sentiment sat near record lows with inflation expectations climbing

·Treasury yields fell across the curve on the week despite $100-plus oil, with the 2-year down 5 basis points to 4.69%, the 10-year down 9 basis points to 5.00%, and the 30-year down 10 basis points to 5.33%, as a flight to safety on Thursday overtook the inflation scare

·Energy led the week as WTI crude settled at $103.59, up 2.15% on the week, and Brent traded to five-month highs above $114 a barrel on attacks in Saudi Arabia, while gold cracked, settling at $4,009.40, down 4.11% on the week after dipping below $4,000 for the first time since the summer

·The dollar marked time, with the US Dollar Index closing at 101.81, little changed on the week as falling yields and safe-haven demand pulled in opposite directions

The week's rebound ran out of road. The major indices finished split, with the Russell 2000 up 2% and the Dow up 0.41%, while the S&P 500 fell 0.47% and the Nasdaq eased 0.71%, as Thursday's AI spending wreck and Friday's oil-driven retreat erased three strong sessions that opened the week. Energy led the sectors, up about 1.6% on the crude rally, followed by healthcare at about 1.5%, real estate at about 1.0%, and utilities, materials, consumer staples, financials, and consumer discretionary all eking out gains of less than 1%. Technology finished essentially flat for the week despite Thursday's rout. Communication services brought up the rear, down about 4.4% as the week's biggest earnings casualty sat squarely in the group, and industrials fell about 1.9% on weakness in the big machinery and aerospace names. The week's winners wore defense and energy colors, with Lockheed Martin (LMT, +9.44%) surging after a record $292 billion backlog and SLB (SLB, +7.19%) jumping on its Friday report. Tesla (TSLA, +4.93%) managed a weekly gain despite its profit slide, and the damage concentrated in the AI complex, where Meta Platforms (META, -9.40%) was sold all week on its spending plans, and Lam Research (LRCX, -12.82%) paced the chip decliners on a supply-constrained outlook.

Read Full Commentary

Ken Berman
🔥 New Potential GorillaPick
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🔑 Key Long-Term Technical Levels
Index Support Resistance
Dow 35,800 +/- 54,800 +/-
Nasdaq 15,500 +/- 27,800 +/-
S&P 4,800 +/- 7,850 +/-
🤵 Quote of the Day
"Genius is eternal patience."

-Michelangelo
? Question & Answer

Q. Gorilla, with current market divergence keeping us on our toes, how should I approach position sizing when I decide to scale into a high-volatility breakout?

A. You should always maintain a disciplined approach by limiting your initial exposure at the trigger price, as that is only the start of the breakout signal. Conservative subscribers should wait until the stock hits the confirmation price before establishing a full position, ensuring the move has true momentum behind it. Remember that scaling in keeps your capital protected, allowing you to manage risk effectively while the broader market remains unsettled.

🔨 Gorilla Tools
The GorillaTrades "portfolio" is a collection of investment ideas, which are meant to be filtered according to your investment style and tolerance for risk. All investing involves risk. Always invest according to your own tolerance for risk and use a stop loss.

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